Saturday, March 18, 2006

 

PECOTA: Catchers

Yadier Molina



Five Year WARP


EQA Distribution


2005 Equivalents:
.253 AVG // .298 OBP // .363 SLG // .230 EqA

2005 PECOTA:
-.142 MLVr // -1.1 VORP // 4.2 WARP

Diagnostics:
33% breakout rate / 53% improve rate / 19% collapse rate / 13% attrition rate

Valuation:
2006 // 0.0 OWARP // 2.7 DWARP // 2.8 TotWARP // $3.3m MORP
2007 // 0.0 OWARP // 2.8 DWARP // 2.8 TotWARP // $3.525m MORP
2008 // 0.5 OWARP // 3.0 DWARP // 3.5 TotWARP // $5.1m MORP
2009 // 0.5 OWARP // 2.7 DWARP // 3.2 TotWARP // $4.75m MORP
2010 // 0.3 OWARP // 2.1 DWARP // 2.5 TotWARP // $3.425m MORP

Career Path Analysis


Stars & Scrubs Chart


Five Year Performance

2006 // .248 (75%) // .221 (50%) // .205 (25%) // .234 weighted mean
2006 // .245 (75%) // .225 (50%) // .215 (25%) // .230 weighted mean
2006 // .270 (75%) // .240 (50%) // .219 (25%) // .244 weighted mean
2009 // .269 (75%) // .236 (50%) // .217 (25%) // .244 weighted mean
2010 // .256 (75%) // .240 (50%) // .208 (25%) // .242 weighted mean

Five Year Attrition

2006 // 13% attrition rate // 0% drop rate // 33% breakout
2007 // 25% attrition rate // 9% drop rate // 28% breakout
2008 // 26% attrition rate // 6% drop rate // 42% breakout
2009 // 30% attrition rate // 12% drop rate // 42% breakout
2010 // 38% attrition rate // 17% drop rate // 41% breakout

Most Comparable Players:
#1. Ellie Rodriguez, 1970
#2. Ray Fosse, 1971
#3. Jack Shepard, 1956
#4. Mike Sweeney, 1997
#5. Ramon Hernandez, 2000



Gary Bennett



Five Year WARP


EQA Distribution


2005 Equivalents:
.248 AVG // .306 OBP // .289 SLG // .219 EqA

2005 PECOTA:
-.253 MLVr // -6.6 VORP // 0.7 WARP

Diagnostics:
41% breakout rate / 57% improve rate / 26% collapse rate / 41% attrition rate

Valuation:
2006 // -0.2 OWARP // 0.9 DWARP // 0.7 TotWARP // $775k MORP
2007 // -0.2 OWARP // 0.5 DWARP // 0.3 TotWARP // $525k MORP
2008 // 0.0 OWARP // 0.4 DWARP // 0.2 TotWARP // $500k MORP
2009 // 0.0 OWARP // 0.2 DWARP // 0.1 TotWARP // $450k MORP
2010 // 0.0 OWARP // 0.1 DWARP // 0.1 TotWARP // $425k MORP

Career Path Analysis


Stars & Scrubs Chart


Five Year Performance

2006 // .238 (75%) // .218 (50%) // .185 (25%) // .219 weighted mean
2006 // .224 (75%) // .210 (50%) // .183 (25%) // .210 weighted mean
2006 // .228 (75%) // .210 (50%) // .179 (25%) // .212 weighted mean
2009 // out of baseball
2010 // out of baseball

Five Year Attrition

2006 // 41% attrition rate // 0% drop rate // 41% breakout
2007 // 66% attrition rate // 27% drop rate // 16% breakout
2008 // 78% attrition rate // 49% drop rate // 13% breakout
2009 // 88% attrition rate // 74% drop rate // 7% breakout
2010 // 95% attrition rate // 81% drop rate // 9% breakout

Most Comparable Players:
#1. Danny Sheaffer, 1995
#2. Mike Matheny, 2004
#3. Rick Cerone, 1988
#4. Kirt Manwaring, 1999
#5. Andy Etchebarren, 1977

You can view the entire Cardinals roster PECOTA analysis here courtesy of Baseball Prospectus.

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